Businesses are based on ideas and assumptions. But the difference between a good and a bad business is in the ability to validate those assumptions. By validating your core assumptions, you save time and money. You ensure your startup’s business model will be able to weather the storms, be attractive and create a profit.
Now, the below steps follow closely the famous Business Canvas Model by Alexander Osterwalder. The model is useful for drawing up the hypothesis about how you can deliver, create and capture value.
Each step of validating your business model will examine different segments in the nine-step business model. So, let’s delve deeper into how you can validate your startup’s business model in three simple steps.
The first part of validation is about understanding how your startup is going to deliver value to its customers. You essentially need to validate three core ideas:
Your value proposition shouldn’t be a singular benefit to the customer but a core value you are looking to offer. Good value propositions are about performance, customisation, design, price, cost-reductions, risk-reduction and accessibility.
In terms of customer relationships, your focus needs to be on solving how you will acquire, retain and upsell to your customers. Many businesses make the mistake of focusing just on acquiring new customers and forget about the importance of maintaining customer loyalty after the first purchase.
The third core assumption to validate deals with the customer channels. The channels determine how the customer will access your solution and there are typically two options for businesses to choose. You can either have a direct or indirect channel.
The core focus here should be on the customer. You’ve made assumptions of their pain points but the real question is whether these pain points are real. It can be tempting as a startup owner to think customers want the solution you are offering. But you really need to prove the pain is there – you need to validate the problem in order to validate the customers.
So, how can you validate these core ideas?
In order to validate your value proposition, your customer relationship and customer channels, you need to talk to the actual customers as well as conduct thorough market research. It’s important to pay attention to understanding what the customer pain points are and how your solution is actually going to solve them.
There are three clever ways to validate these assumptions and to talk directly to customers:
Nabila Amarsy has written a compelling post on Strategyzer about the differences in customer experiments. The post points out how customer behaviour and responses will change regarding whether you are watching them or not. For example, if you observe customers using your product, you can focus on the non-verbal cues during the experiment. However, customers might also react and speak about the product differently when you are directly asking the questions. The key is to use both indirect and direct observation methods to validate your business model with customers.
Next, you need to validate your ability to actually create value. Your attention turns to three core issues of resources, activities and partnership. You must answer these three questions:
In terms of the partnership, startups have numerous options available from starting a strategic alliance with a non-competitor to launching a joint venture. The issue also deals with buyer-supplier relationship. When it comes to activities, the startup must validate the supply chains, train and hire human capital and manage the customer communities. Much of this steps also deals with the competition and understanding what resources are needed in order to boost the startup’s competitiveness.
In order to validate the above points, the startup has two great options:
First, it can launch a minimum viable product (MVP). MVP will allow validating all three sections – it will outline what resources you need in order to create the solution, it will show what strategic partnership help or hinder the process, and it will make it easier to understand what activities can improve your startup’s ability to create the value.
At this stage, you could also begin validating the core points through a limited launch of the product or service. The limited and restricted launch will put your key assumption to test without jeopardising your startup’s finances.
The final step to validating your business model deals with your ability to capture the value you’ve created with the previous segments. You will essentially need to figure out whether your startup has chosen to right approach to making a profit by reducing fixed costs and maximising your gross margin.
There are two core issues to validate at this point:
Validating directly with the customer:
Validating your startup’s ability to capture value will be easier if you’ve already taken the above two steps. With the creation of an MVP, you have an idea of the cost structure of delivering the solution to people. You’ve also paid attention to your customer service channels, identifying the marketing routes you need to take in order to acquire customers.
Furthermore, by talking to your customers, you’ve learned more about their views on pricing. You should further use surveys and competition pricing to identify what kind of revenue model best works for your business. You can’t just validate your market; you also need to ensure the market is willing to pay for your proposed solution. If you don’t achieve traction – if no one is willing to pay for your product – you haven’t nailed your value proposition. You don’t have a real problem because if there were a real problem, customers would pay. Therefore, testing pricing points is important at this point and it can be done easily in focus groups or with the help of a simple landing page.
Here you want to pay attention to the ways you can also create revenue. There is no singular model startups should use – the best revenue model depends on your product and your customer base.
It’s important to consider different revenue options during the validation process. You want to test customers’ willingness to subscribe to a certain payment structure – you could essentially be able to generate the same kind of revenue with two different models. However, customers might only prefer one of these options.
Calculating core metrics:
In terms of capturing value, startups have three key objectives:
In order to validate these core objectives, you need to focus on measuring the following metrics:
Your bottom line is mostly influenced by CAC, LTV, revenue and churn. When you are validating your ability to capture value, these metrics will matter the most.
When you are validating metrics, you want to focus on the worst and the best assumptions. So, calculate the worst-case scenario first and then create estimates based on the higher end of predictions. These will be helpful as you start tracking your actual metrics, making it easier to adjust your outlook into a realistic view – when you are raising capital, this will be a key to success.
Validating a startup’s business model is reliant on key three behaviours: defining, testing and correcting. You don’t want to approach validating without having a clear set of assumptions you are testing – if you haven’t defined your hypothesis carefully it will be hard to validate whether you’re telling a compelling story or not.
In terms of testing and validating, startup’s need to go out into the real world and not just sit in front of the screen calculating figures. Market research, reports, calculations are all great tools for validating startup’s business model but you also need to emphasise actual opinions, figures and findings. Validations cannot just be assumptions but they must be based on evidence and data you’ve gathered.
Finally, the critical thing to realise about a business model is that it cannot be set in stone. When you are validating your core hypothesis, you might notice that things require refinement. Don’t be afraid to go through with this process and change your model. The best thing to remember is that failing early is much better than failing late.
Steve Blank has said, “You may be smart, but you are not smarter than the collective intelligence of your potential customers” and it perfectly reflects the importance of validating a business. You need to make assumptions about how you will create, deliver and capture value but you also need to validate those points through testing, talking and measuring.
By Martin Luenendonk
Martin is a 2x entrepreneur, former venture capitalist and investment banker, and has helped startups raise $30 million in venture capital and focus on the right things to grow their business. He blogs on roadtofunding.com.